Original Published 08:37 Apr 25, 2022

By Chelsea Kemp, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter

The effects of the war between Russia and Ukraine are having a global impact, and Canadian farmers are facing increased pressure to grow  larger crops to counter potential food shortages brought on by the  fighting between two of the world’s largest wheat exporters.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has impacted Canadian producers  in multiple ways, said Cornie Thiessen general manager of ADAMA Canada,  a global crop protection company.

World crop prices have risen since the war began because of the  inability to have grains exported from Ukraine and countries not  wanting to purchase crops from Russia as part of trade embargoes and  sanctions.

“The removal of a portion of Russian and Ukraine supplies  really exasperates an existing tightness in global stocks for grains,  primarily wheat,” Thiessen said.

The Canadian Press reported Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has  sparked major disruptions around the world. A large number of countries  in Asia and the Middle East import wheat from Russia and Ukraine.  Ukraine is one of the world’s major wheat exporters and since Russia’s  attack, global wheat prices have risen to levels not seen since 2008.

Canadian farmers are feeling these effects through higher prices for wheat and canola in the country.

It is positive to see the price of crops rise, Thiessen said,  but on the downside, this has also impacted the availability and cost of  the inputs farmers need to grow a crop.

These issues have been compounded by available fertilizer  materials. Russia is an important producer of fertilizers and the  inability to access these materials is creating tightness in the global  fertilizer supply, leading to a sharp increase in fertilizer prices.

Crop protection products, including herbicides, insecticides and fungicides, are rising in price and availability.

Producers are also feeling the pinch of surging energy and fuel costs.

“Farmers need a lot of fuel to run tractors across the field  and run grain dryers, and fuel prices, as we’ve all seen at the gas  pump, have risen sharply. Part of that again is a reaction to the loss  of Russian supplies to portions to the world market,” Thiessen said.  “The lack of raw materials is driving prices up for crop protection  products, but also hampering their availability.”

It will take careful planning to meet global demands over the  2022 summer season in an industry rife with unpredictability. He said it  will be equally important to be able to adapt and change plans quickly  as new realities emerge over the season.

“It’s a bit of a high-wire act for farmers because obviously,  the world needs Canadian farmers to grow a really big crop so we can  avoid the worst of the food security concerns that are starting to  build,” Thiessen said. “At the same time, they’re going to probably  plant their most expensive crop ever.”

Farmers will reap the rewards of their efforts if they see a  positive yield due to high crop prices, he said, but there is also a  significant risk because of the size of the investment needed to grow  products.

Producers face additional challenges in the Prairies as farmers  are coming off the 2021 season that saw extreme drought that hampered  crop production.

The large level of snow accumulated over the winter and spring  will help replenish soil moisture but remains a concern because it can  typically take a couple of years to return to trend line yields since  soil moisture needs time to rebuild. He hopes for more moisture to get  back to or above the trend line in 2022.

Farmers must factor in the potential moisture levels when deciding on how to invest in crop production.

“We’ve got some of the most knowledgeable and resourceful and  resilient farmers in the world, and that’s been shown over and over  again,” Thiessen said. “I’m pretty optimistic that farmers will be able  to do whatever they can.”

Thiessen expects seeding will be delayed in Manitoba due to the April blizzard and the continued below-normal temperatures.

“It has been a little slower warming up the soils and getting  the moisture turned into the good kind of moisture and soaked into the  ground,” Thiessen said.

“I would expect it to be at least a little bit of a delayed spring relative to the average seeding time in Manitoba.”

If these low temperatures persist for an extended length of  time, it could become another barrier to growing as big of a crop as  needed, Thiessen said, but he expects producers will be able to adapt to  later seeding days and grow a successful crop.

“I don’t think we’re at the point of concern yet, but it is certainly another variable that farmers have to deal with.”

Looking at the number of countries that have the capability to  produce exportable crops, it is a small number. Canada is dominant on  the list in terms of the quantity of excess and exportable crops  produced, he said, but also the diversity of crops, including cereal,  canola, and pulses and the quality and reliability of the country in  serving the global market.

The Observatory of Economic Complexity, a data visualization  site for international trade data, reported Canada exported $7.13  billion in wheat, making it the second-largest exporter of wheat in the  world in 2020. That same year, wheat was the eighth-most exported  product in Canada.

“There isn’t a whole lot of countries that have the capability  to help in these kinds of situations other than countries like Canada,”  Thiessen said.

This item reprinted with permission from Brandon Sun, Brandon, Manitoba, with files from Canadian Press